Variance components and gauge R&R (numeric)
These calculations compare the numeric random-effects model with
independent ANOVA calculations, published estimates, certified NIST
quantities and live package oracles. Every observed value is recomputed
by the currently loaded llmsa namespace. No fitted
estimates or oracle results are stored as inputs. The reference
calculations are implemented in the installed
validation/numeric/reference_checks.R script.
The reference authority is reference/anchors/: ANK-10
contains the AIAG example, ANK-13 the published Penicillin estimates,
ANK-14 the NIST certified quantities, ANK-16 the GRR conventions, and
ANK-TOL the comparison tolerances. Variance-component tolerances are
fractions of the reference total variance; derived
ratios use relative tolerances. Printed standard deviations are compared
on the variance scale where the anchor requires it. The tables show the
resulting absolute bounds.
This run uses the public context. A nonempty
REPO_ROOT selects complete local validation: original
anchors, the protected AIAG sheet and the frozen NIST originals. Missing
inputs or mismatching SHA-256 hashes stop the calculation. Without
REPO_ROOT, the public package build uses whole,
byte-identical anchor copies and free NIST tables. Their provenance is
recorded in validation/numeric/SOURCES.json. In that
context, AIAG rows explicitly say
not rerun: protected data required and never claim a
successful rerun. Neither context displays the protected AIAG
measurements.
The balanced synthetic studies use the specification’s four crossed
designs with seed one, with and without block effects and pairwise
interactions. The independent ANOVA calculation solves the
expected-mean-square equations; negative moment estimates are outside
that comparison. At a variance boundary, the numeric default fit
re-estimates the remaining components by restricted REML. The AIAG
comparison pools the interaction as in the handbook; that row is marked
as not separately estimated. The model with interaction is reported
separately. On the unbalanced ic50_demo data,
VCA::remlVCA is a criterion, while
VCA::anovaVCA is a reported comparison.
SixSigma::ss.rr uses its default interaction pooling; study
variation comes from its unrounded standard deviations.
Balanced designs against ANOVA
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) item | 0.835101910404327 | 0.835102313122942 | 0.000112176345654644 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) prompt | 0.168794312318088 | 0.168794416682278 | 0.000112176345654644 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) model | 0.0123698579800859 | 0.0123698382273596 | 0.000112176345654644 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) Residual | 0.105497375843937 | 0.10549737464579 | 0.000112176345654644 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) grr_pct_study_var | 50.5515033377568 | 50.5514997389425 | 0.00505515033377568 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) grr_pct_contribution | 25.5545448970724 | 25.5545412585631 | 0.00255545448970724 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) icc_items | 0.744454551029276 | 0.744454587414369 | 7.44454551029276e-05 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 1 (seed 1) ndc | 2 | 2 | 0 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) item | 0.896356056977856 | 0.896355885245044 | 0.000119652855913307 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) prompt | 0.099234985232256 | 0.0992349351431396 | 0.000119652855913307 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) model | 0.00163326075749219 | 0.00163326845691075 | 0.000119652855913307 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) item:prompt | 0.0332467620444284 | 0.0332467584284754 | 0.000119652855913307 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) item:model | 0.0292096365532243 | 0.0292096391073928 | 0.000119652855913307 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) prompt:model | 0.0207364731002638 | 0.0207364810060388 | 0.000119652855913307 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) Residual | 0.116111384467547 | 0.116111384938424 | 0.000119652855913307 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) grr_pct_study_var | 50.086872925452 | 50.086874327654 | 0.0050086872925452 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) grr_pct_contribution | 25.0869483945037 | 25.0869497991421 | 0.00250869483945037 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) icc_items | 0.749130516054963 | 0.749130502008579 | 7.49130516054962e-05 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 2 (seed 1) ndc | 2 | 2 | 0 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) item | 0.831776303543049 | 0.831777146976174 | 0.000116858157865115 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) prompt | 0.170651542751799 | 0.170652334747135 | 0.000116858157865115 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) model | 0.014079640005018 | 0.0140796343569236 | 0.000116858157865115 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) block | 0.0429564226349355 | 0.0429565506072487 | 0.000116858157865115 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) Residual | 0.109117669716351 | 0.109117667757456 | 0.000116858157865115 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) grr_pct_study_var | 53.6858612349231 | 53.6858936172884 | 0.00536858612349231 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) grr_pct_contribution | 28.8217169653542 | 28.8217517348681 | 0.00288217169653542 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) icc_items | 0.711782830346458 | 0.711782482651319 | 7.11782830346458e-05 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 3 (seed 1) ndc | 2 | 2 | 0 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) item | 0.812907930868241 | 0.812903011877827 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) prompt | 0.19014246243158 | 0.190140990142518 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) model | 0.00493987696115858 | 0.00493990642879696 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) block | 0.0447175071996804 | 0.0447173774568431 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) item:prompt | 0.0445888629217295 | 0.0445888568476236 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) item:model | 0.0365928277418786 | 0.0365928295480705 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) prompt:model | 0.0312833167960641 | 0.031283375422539 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent stats::aov EMS solution | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) Residual | 0.109927667807743 | 0.109927674665773 | 0.000127510045272807 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) grr_pct_study_var | 60.2059283263632 | 60.2059817007425 | 0.00602059283263632 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) grr_pct_contribution | 36.2475380563919 | 36.2476023255014 | 0.00362475380563919 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) icc_items | 0.637524619436081 | 0.637523976744986 | 6.37524619436081e-05 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Independent GRR formulas | Synthetic design 4 (seed 1) ndc | 1 | 1 | 0 absolute | PASS |
AIAG published statistics
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | EV variance | 0.039973 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | AV variance | 0.051455 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | INT variance | 0 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | GRR variance | 0.09143 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | PV variance | 1.086446 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | EV sd | 0.199933 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 on variance scale | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | AV sd | 0.226838 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 on variance scale | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | INT sd | 0 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 on variance scale | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | GRR sd | 0.302373 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 on variance scale | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | PV sd | 1.042327 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0001177876 on variance scale | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | TV sd | 1.085 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.00055428 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | EV pct_study_var | 18.4 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05184 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | AV pct_study_var | 20.9 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05209 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | INT pct_study_var | 0 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.5 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | GRR pct_study_var | 27.9 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05279 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | PV pct_study_var | 96 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.0596 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | TV pct_study_var | 100 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | EV pct_contribution | 3.4 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05034 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | AV pct_contribution | 4.4 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05044 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | INT pct_contribution | 0 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.5 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | GRR pct_contribution | 7.8 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05078 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010), Tables III-B 8 and III-B 10 | PV pct_contribution | 92.2 | not rerun: protected data required | 0.05922 absolute | NOT RERUN |
| ANK-10 | AIAG (2010) | ndc | 4 | not rerun: protected data required | exact | NOT RERUN |
ic50_demo against remlVCA
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo item | 0.967220789818754 | 0.967220226546123 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo prompt | 0.00486225044085849 | 0.00486224064145486 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo model | 0.0171356297778552 | 0.0171354046279492 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo block | 0.00101738231623373 | 0.00101739985692395 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo item:prompt | 8.42405662587328e-05 | 8.42408728729267e-05 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo item:model | 0.00534983906040427 | 0.00534983731012706 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo prompt:model | 2.12812383544617e-05 | 2.12809485421782e-05 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::remlVCA | ic50_demo Residual | 0.0140103053297033 | 0.0140103056395663 | 0.000100970171854842 absolute | PASS |
ic50_demo (unbalanced) against anovaVCA
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) item | 0.969968365297755 | 0.967220226546123 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) prompt | 0.00488367383776392 | 0.00486224064145486 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) model | 0.0171099342884023 | 0.0171354046279492 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) block | 0.00100892168736979 | 0.00101739985692395 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) item:prompt | 9.42738421534421e-05 | 8.42408728729267e-05 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) item:model | 0.00534173250038113 | 0.00534983731012706 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) prompt:model | 2.15882253347022e-05 | 2.12809485421782e-05 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | VCA::anovaVCA | ic50_demo (unbalanced) Residual | 0.014010703740144 | 0.0140103056395663 | not a criterion: unbalanced ANOVA | REPORT |
SixSigma oracle
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, default pooling | Residual | 0.0213087542087542 | 0.0213087542223815 | 8.62212121212121e-06 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, default pooling | prompt | 0.000573512906846248 | 0.000573512905820389 | 8.62212121212121e-06 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, default pooling | item:prompt | 0 | 0 | 8.62212121212121e-06 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, default pooling | item | 0.0643389450056117 | 0.0643389445237618 | 8.62212121212121e-06 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, unrounded StdDev | Total gauge R&R % study variation | 50.3777881275185 | 50.3777882791117 | 0.00503777881275185 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, unrounded StdDev | Repeatability % study variation | 49.7132284728041 | 49.7132286239795 | 0.00497132284728041 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, unrounded StdDev | Reproducibility % study variation | 8.15576185478261 | 8.15576186968176 | 0.000815576185478261 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, unrounded StdDev | prompt % study variation | 8.15576185478261 | 8.15576186968176 | 0.000815576185478261 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr, unrounded StdDev | Part-to-part (items) % study variation | 86.3833228313131 | 86.3833227429056 | 0.00863833228313131 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.oracle | SixSigma::ss.rr | ndc | 2 | 2 | 0 absolute | PASS |
Penicillin against ANOVA
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Penicillin: stats::aov EMS | item | 3.73091787439613 | 3.73091787439614 | 0.000475024154589371 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Penicillin: stats::aov EMS | prompt | 0.716908212560386 | 0.716908212560387 | 0.000475024154589371 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.reml_anova | Penicillin: stats::aov EMS | Residual | 0.302415458937198 | 0.302415458937198 | 0.000475024154589371 absolute | PASS |
Penicillin published estimates
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-13 | Bates (2010), section 2.1.2 | plate variance | 0.71691 | 0.716908212560387 | 0.000475029 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-13 | Bates (2010), section 2.1.2 | sample variance | 3.73097 | 3.73091787439614 | 0.000475029 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-13 | Bates (2010), section 2.1.2 | residual variance | 0.30241 | 0.302415458937198 | 0.000475029 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-13 | Bates (2010), section 2.1.2 | plate sd | 0.84671 | 0.8467043241654 | 0.000475029 on variance scale | PASS |
| ANK-13 | Bates (2010), section 2.1.2 | sample sd | 1.93157 | 1.93155840563938 | 0.000475029 on variance scale | PASS |
| ANK-13 | Bates (2010), section 2.1.2 | residual sd | 0.54992 | 0.549923139117821 | 0.000475029 on variance scale | PASS |
NIST certified quantities
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SiRstv | Residual | 0.010831828 | 0.0108318280000011 | 1.0831828e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SiRstv | item | 0.00039094748 | 0.000390947479999821 | 3.9094748e-12 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs01 | Residual | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs01 | item | 0.00952380952380952 | 0.00952380952380954 | 9.52380952380952e-11 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs02 | Residual | 0.01 | 0.01 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs02 | item | 0.0099502487562189 | 0.00995024875621895 | 9.9502487562189e-11 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs03 | Residual | 0.01 | 0.00999999999999871 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs03 | item | 0.00999500249875063 | 0.00999500249874934 | 9.99500249875063e-11 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD AtmWtAg | Residual | 2.28155932971014e-10 | 2.28155932976711e-10 | 2.28155932971014e-18 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD AtmWtAg | item | 1.42091080917874e-10 | 1.42091080910812e-10 | 1.42091080917874e-18 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs04 | Residual | 0.01 | 0.0100000000001543 | LRE >= aov LRE minus 1 | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs04 | item | 0.00952380952380952 | 0.00952380952432609 | LRE >= aov LRE minus 1 | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs05 | Residual | 0.01 | 0.0100000000005709 | LRE >= aov LRE minus 1 | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs05 | item | 0.0099502487562189 | 0.00995024875740476 | LRE >= aov LRE minus 1 | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs06 | Residual | 0.01 | 0.0100000000005127 | LRE >= aov LRE minus 1 | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs06 | item | 0.00999500249875063 | 0.00999500249990696 | LRE >= aov LRE minus 1 | PASS |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs07 | Residual | 0.01 | NA | not a criterion | REPORT (higher difficulty) |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs07 | item | 0.00952380952380952 | NA | not a criterion | REPORT (higher difficulty) |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs08 | Residual | 0.01 | NA | not a criterion | REPORT (higher difficulty) |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs08 | item | 0.0099502487562189 | NA | not a criterion | REPORT (higher difficulty) |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs09 | Residual | 0.01 | NA | not a criterion | REPORT (higher difficulty) |
| ANK-14; ANK-TOL.nist_digits | NIST StRD SmLs09 | item | 0.00999500249875063 | NA | not a criterion | REPORT (higher difficulty) |
GRR formulas and boundary conventions
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-16 | Independent GRR algebra; constructed components | grr_pct_study_var | 44.5811668553512 | 44.5811668553512 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-16 | Independent GRR algebra; constructed components | grr_pct_contribution | 19.8748043818466 | 19.8748043818466 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-16 | Independent GRR algebra; constructed components | repeatability_pct_study_var | 31.6475108851694 | 31.6475108851694 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-16 | Independent GRR algebra; constructed components | reproducibility_pct_study_var | 31.399291281138 | 31.399291281138 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-16 | Independent GRR algebra; constructed components | ndc | 2 | 2 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-16 | Independent GRR algebra; constructed components | icc_items | 0.801251956181534 | 0.801251956181534 | 1e-10 absolute | PASS |
| ANK-16 | AIAG study-variation boundaries | verdict at 10 % | marginal | marginal | exact | PASS |
| ANK-16 | AIAG study-variation boundaries | verdict at 30 % | marginal | marginal | exact | PASS |
| ANK-16 | GRR boundary convention (ADR-017) | zero total ndc | NA | NA | exact | PASS |
| ANK-16 | GRR boundary convention (ADR-017) | zero gauge ndc | Inf | Inf | exact | PASS |
| ANK-16 | GRR boundary convention (ADR-017) | zero item ndc | 1 | 1 | exact | PASS |
NIST precision report
Item denotes the treatment and replicate denotes the observation
within the treatment. The certified within mean square is the residual
variance; the item reference is the between-minus-within mean-square
difference divided by the number of replicates. NIST labels
AtmWtAg as Average difficulty; the project
nevertheless applies the stricter relative tolerance 10^{-8} to it, as
to the lower-difficulty datasets.
Log relative error (LRE) is the negative base-ten logarithm of the
absolute relative error. Exact agreement gives Inf. For
SmLs04 through SmLs06, the required LRE is at
least the corresponding stats::aov LRE minus 1. The
higher-difficulty SmLs07 through SmLs09 are
reports, with no pass threshold. Low LRE values expose precision loss,
including loss in the original-scale lme4 model despite conditioning the
variance-ratio calculation. NA denotes a failed fit whose
reason is reported below; rounded input values are never repaired.
| Dataset | LRE msa_fit residual | LRE msa_fit item | LRE aov residual | LRE aov item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SmLs04 | 10.81152 | 10.265686 | 10.286173 | 10.043134 |
| SmLs05 | 10.24344 | 9.923803 | 10.286173 | 9.943752 |
| SmLs06 | 10.29010 | 9.936698 | 10.286172 | 9.934953 |
| SmLs07 | NA | NA | 4.250358 | 4.022777 |
| SmLs08 | NA | NA | 4.085552 | 3.922826 |
| SmLs09 | NA | NA | 3.351163 | 3.914627 |
Fit diagnostics:
| Context | Diagnostic |
|---|---|
| NIST SmLs07 | Numeric model variance is not representable on the original scale at working precision. |
| NIST SmLs08 | Numeric model variance is not representable on the original scale at working precision. |
| NIST SmLs09 | Numeric model variance is not representable on the original scale at working precision. |
Reproduction and interpretation
Run Rscript data-raw/make_validation_numeric.R from the
repository to reproduce the public inputs offline. The script checks
original hashes before writing; --out <package-root>
reproduces the files in a separate directory. The local NIST collection
belongs in the sibling quellen/daten/ directory, and the
protected AIAG sheet at the path recorded in ANK-10. The installed
validation/numeric/README.md explains both build contexts
and their checks.
The default numeric fit uses a closed EMS solution for eligible
balanced designs and an analytic REML completion otherwise. Supplying
any lme4 argument through ... selects the direct lme4 path;
the ANOVA reference check uses the optimizer declared by ANK-TOL. The
final model retains the original response scale, observation order and
factor labels. Its components come from VarCorr().
Bootstrap refits use ordinary lme4 optimization with the stored refit
control; the initial analytic completion is not repeated per
replicate.
Zero total variance makes percentages, ICC and ndc undefined
(NA), with verdict undetermined. Zero gauge
variance with positive item variance gives infinite ndc; zero item
variance with positive gauge variance gives the lower bound from ANK-16.
Constant numeric responses and a degenerate residual variance produce
named errors. These finite reference checks establish neither bootstrap
coverage nor the later ordinal and binary simulation results.
Ordinal and binary outcomes (latent scale)
Ordinal msa_fit() uses cumulative link mixed models and
binary msa_fit() uses binomial mixed models. Variance
components, gauge R&R and ICC_items refer to the latent
scale. ANK-28 fixes the residual variance to one for the probit link and
to pi^2 / 3 for the logit link. In both cases,
ICC_items is the item variance divided by the sum of all
variance components, including that residual. Gauge R&R includes
every component except the item variance.
All reference values below are read from ANK-21, ANK-25 and ANK-28,
with tolerances from ANK-TOL. The public context
verifies whole anchor copies and their SHA-256 manifest under
validation/latent/. When REPO_ROOT is set,
original anchors are also checked and used; an invalid root or missing
input is an error. There is no network access.
Wine: ordinal components and a separate installation check
The wine comparison maps bottle to item, judge to prompt, with one
model and one replicate. Each link is fitted again with
ordinal::clmm and msa_fit(). The absolute
comparison bound is ANK-TOL.engine_ordinal times the direct
fit’s total latent variance. The tutorial’s clmm2 model
includes temperature and contact fixed effects, so its ANK-21 estimates
form a separate installation check, using both Laplace approximation and
quadrature.
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-TOL.engine_ordinal / ANK-28 | ordinal::clmm on wine; latent residual | logit item | 2.74961 | 2.74961 | 7.24961e-08 | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.engine_ordinal / ANK-28 | ordinal::clmm on wine; latent residual | logit prompt | 1.21013 | 1.21013 | 7.24961e-08 | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.engine_ordinal / ANK-28 | ordinal::clmm on wine; latent residual | logit Residual | 3.28987 | 3.28987 | 7.24961e-08 | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.engine_ordinal / ANK-28 | ordinal::clmm on wine; latent residual | probit item | 0.911033 | 0.911033 | 2.33276e-08 | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.engine_ordinal / ANK-28 | ordinal::clmm on wine; latent residual | probit prompt | 0.421725 | 0.421725 | 2.33276e-08 | PASS |
| ANK-TOL.engine_ordinal / ANK-28 | ordinal::clmm on wine; latent residual | probit Residual | 1 | 1 | 2.33276e-08 | PASS |
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-21 | Christensen, clmm2 tutorial, pp. 2-3 | laplace judge variance | 1.27946 | 1.27946 | 5e-07 | PASS |
| ANK-21 | Christensen, clmm2 tutorial, pp. 2-3 | nagq10 judge variance | 1.28774 | 1.28774 | 5e-07 | PASS |
BeetlesMale: binary repeatability and a separate installation check
Population is the item, with one prompt, one model and replicates
numbered within Population. The latent logit ICC_items is
compared with live rptR::rptBinary(expect = "liability"),
performance::icc() on both the direct glmer
model and the returned model, and the independent calculation
variance(Population) / (variance(Population) + pi^2 / 3)
using ANK-28. These comparisons use
ANK-TOL.rptr.live_tol.
The published ANK-25 values use rptR’s default
expect = "meanobs" and a different scale convention. Both
the link and original scale values are reproduced separately with
ANK-TOL.rptr.vignette_tol. They are installation checks,
not reference values for ICC_items.
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-28 / ANK-TOL.rptr.live_tol | rptBinary(expect = liability) | ICC_items (latent logit) | 0.223305 | 0.223305 | 1e-06 | PASS |
| ANK-28 / ANK-TOL.rptr.live_tol | performance::icc (direct glmer) | ICC_items (latent logit) | 0.223305 | 0.223305 | 1e-06 | PASS |
| ANK-28 / ANK-TOL.rptr.live_tol | performance::icc (msa_fit model) | ICC_items (latent logit) | 0.223305 | 0.223305 | 1e-06 | PASS |
| ANK-28 / ANK-TOL.rptr.live_tol | Population / (Population + ANK-28 residual) | ICC_items (latent logit) | 0.223305 | 0.223305 | 1e-06 | PASS |
| Anchor | Source | Quantity | Expected | Observed | Tolerance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANK-25 / ANK-TOL.rptr.vignette_tol | rptR vignette, rep10; default expect = meanobs | R_link | 0.188 | 0.187939 | 5e-04 | PASS |
| ANK-25 / ANK-TOL.rptr.vignette_tol | rptR vignette, rep10; default expect = meanobs | R_org | 0.185 | 0.185407 | 5e-04 | PASS |
Simulation recovery and two-level factors
The following tables read the installed studies’
<study>_results.csv if it exists, otherwise
<study>_check_results.csv. An invalid existing full
result file stops the build. The displayed n_sim comes from
each file. Knitting does not rerun these class B simulations. Bias,
relative bias, empirical standard error (EmpSE) and root mean squared
error (RMSE) each have a Monte Carlo standard error (MCSE); the tables
retain significant digits for small estimates. n_finite and
n_failed count the usable and missing estimates separately.
Finite estimates with non-convergence or singularity are retained, with
the diagnoses recorded in the replicate and session files.
Short runs check reproducibility and file structure. They do not
establish quantitative recovery or bias findings. Full runs require at
least 1000 repetitions per scenario, according to ANK-06, and are
performed separately by the operator after acceptance. The installed
validation/sim/README.md gives executable full-run and
scenario-merging instructions, the ADEMP design, MCSE formulas and
failure handling. The random stream for each scenario and repetition is
independent of the requested run length and worker count.
For ordinal fits, a prompt, model or block with exactly two levels
enters as a fixed effect. Its component is the squared fitted difference
divided by two, beta-hat^2 / 2, marked in
attr(fit$vc, "derived") and in msa_grr(). This
range method does not subtract the AIAG correction
EV^2 / (n * r). Its bias is positive:
E[beta-hat^2 / 2] = sigma^2 + Var(beta-hat) / 2. Every such
fit warns, and printing names each derived component with
range method, see ?msa_fit. The two_level
study redraws both model effects in every repetition and reports
derived_share, the fraction of repetitions with a derived
model component. The full-run tables below report its measured bias and
MCSE in each scenario. A bias that does not exceed the reporting
threshold does not establish general unbiasedness. Fewer than three
ordinal items are rejected.
Component findings use ANK-TOL.bias_report: the absolute relative bias must exceed both 0.1 and 3 times its MCSE. The two-level model bias is always reported; its direction is resolved only beyond 3 MCSE. These are reporting rules, not acceptance criteria for the estimates. Full-run findings are computed from the read tables, never selected by scenario name.
ordinal_recovery
Read ordinal_recovery_results.csv (full); n_sim = 1000
per scenario.
S-ord-1
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-1 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | -0.125273 | 0.110754 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 3.50234 | 0.0783538 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | -0.00168297 | 0.00148791 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 3.50283 | 0.0767646 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | icc_items | bias | 0.000637983 | 0.00165117 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | icc_items | empse | 0.0522147 | 0.00116814 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | icc_items | rel_bias | 0.00143068 | 0.00370276 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0521925 | 0.00116872 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item | bias | 0.00395243 | 0.00635032 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item | empse | 0.200815 | 0.0044926 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item | rel_bias | 0.00395243 | 0.00635032 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item | rmse | 0.200753 | 0.00435086 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item:model | bias | 0.00211939 | 0.000972256 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item:model | empse | 0.0307454 | 0.000687833 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item:model | rel_bias | 0.0235487 | 0.0108028 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | item:model | rmse | 0.030803 | 0.000724317 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | model | bias | -0.0181983 | 0.00227219 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | model | empse | 0.0718531 | 0.00160749 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | model | rel_bias | -0.202203 | 0.0252466 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | model | rmse | 0.074087 | 0.00212371 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | prompt | bias | -0.00952569 | 0.00165618 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | prompt | empse | 0.052373 | 0.00117168 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.152411 | 0.0264989 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-1 | prompt | rmse | 0.0532065 | 0.00180531 | 1000 | 20261032 | 1000 | 0 |
S-ord-2
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-2 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.0347232 | 0.113032 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 3.57438 | 0.0799656 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.000466485 | 0.00151851 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 3.57276 | 0.0774861 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | icc_items | bias | -0.00179339 | 0.00168449 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | icc_items | empse | 0.0532684 | 0.00119171 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.00402168 | 0.00377748 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0532719 | 0.00116873 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item | bias | -0.0016251 | 0.0064879 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item | empse | 0.205165 | 0.00458993 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item | rel_bias | -0.0016251 | 0.0064879 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item | rmse | 0.205069 | 0.00483422 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item:model | bias | 0.00160385 | 0.000717591 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item:model | empse | 0.0226922 | 0.000507667 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item:model | rel_bias | 0.0178205 | 0.00797323 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | item:model | rmse | 0.0227375 | 0.000498283 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | model | bias | -0.0168554 | 0.00230711 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | model | empse | 0.0729573 | 0.00163219 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | model | rel_bias | -0.187283 | 0.0256346 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | model | rmse | 0.0748435 | 0.0027447 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | prompt | bias | -0.00435936 | 0.0012259 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | prompt | empse | 0.0387663 | 0.000867275 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.0697498 | 0.0196144 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-2 | prompt | rmse | 0.0389914 | 0.000974564 | 1000 | 20261033 | 1000 | 0 |
S-ord-3
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-3 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.168115 | 0.129819 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 4.10523 | 0.0918417 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.00294099 | 0.00227104 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 4.10662 | 0.0938126 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | icc_items | bias | -0.00360842 | 0.00150216 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | icc_items | empse | 0.0475026 | 0.00106272 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.00535977 | 0.00223124 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0476158 | 0.00117126 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item | bias | -0.000680181 | 0.0161926 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item | empse | 0.512054 | 0.0114556 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item | rel_bias | -0.000265696 | 0.00632523 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item | rmse | 0.511799 | 0.0120317 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item:model | bias | 0.00179274 | 0.00103592 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item:model | empse | 0.0327587 | 0.000732873 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item:model | rel_bias | 0.0199194 | 0.0115102 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | item:model | rmse | 0.0327913 | 0.000729274 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | model | bias | -0.0153654 | 0.00224351 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | model | empse | 0.0709461 | 0.0015872 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | model | rel_bias | -0.170727 | 0.0249279 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | model | rmse | 0.0725563 | 0.00207564 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | prompt | bias | -0.0068387 | 0.00179576 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | prompt | empse | 0.056787 | 0.00127043 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.109419 | 0.0287322 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-3 | prompt | rmse | 0.0571691 | 0.00226492 | 1000 | 20261034 | 1000 | 0 |
S-ord-4
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-4 | block | bias | 0.000995367 | 0.000451907 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | block | empse | 0.0142906 | 0.000319707 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | block | rel_bias | 0.0995367 | 0.0451907 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | block | rmse | 0.0143181 | 0.000619793 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | -0.286697 | 0.0879519 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 2.78128 | 0.0622225 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | -0.00384474 | 0.00117947 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 2.79464 | 0.0601791 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | icc_items | bias | 0.00349472 | 0.00130511 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | icc_items | empse | 0.0412713 | 0.000923317 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | icc_items | rel_bias | 0.00787186 | 0.00293977 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0413985 | 0.000876557 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item | bias | -0.00139942 | 0.00487517 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item | empse | 0.154166 | 0.00344899 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item | rel_bias | -0.00139942 | 0.00487517 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item | rmse | 0.154096 | 0.00355198 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item:model | bias | 6.53399e-05 | 0.0005059 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item:model | empse | 0.015998 | 0.000357905 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item:model | rel_bias | 0.000725999 | 0.00562112 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | item:model | rmse | 0.0159901 | 0.000364165 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | model | bias | -0.0210329 | 0.00217048 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | model | empse | 0.0686366 | 0.00153553 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | model | rel_bias | -0.233699 | 0.0241164 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | model | rmse | 0.0717541 | 0.00228411 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | prompt | bias | -0.0124167 | 0.00150468 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | prompt | empse | 0.0475823 | 0.0010645 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.198667 | 0.0240749 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-ord-4 | prompt | rmse | 0.0491526 | 0.00138499 | 1000 | 20261035 | 1000 | 0 |
Reportable findings (values and MCSE on the stated measure’s scale):
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-1 | model | rel_bias | -0.202203 | 0.0252466 | underestimation |
| S-ord-1 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.152411 | 0.0264989 | underestimation |
| S-ord-2 | model | rel_bias | -0.187283 | 0.0256346 | underestimation |
| S-ord-3 | model | rel_bias | -0.170727 | 0.0249279 | underestimation |
| S-ord-3 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.109419 | 0.0287322 | underestimation |
| S-ord-4 | model | rel_bias | -0.233699 | 0.0241164 | underestimation |
| S-ord-4 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.198667 | 0.0240749 | underestimation |
binary_recovery
Read binary_recovery_results.csv (full); n_sim = 1000
per scenario.
S-bin-1
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-bin-1 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | -0.00921081 | 0.0766766 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 2.42473 | 0.0542457 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | -0.000104475 | 0.000869711 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 2.42353 | 0.0554421 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | icc_items | bias | -0.000424939 | 0.00134707 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | icc_items | empse | 0.0425981 | 0.000953 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.00190792 | 0.00604817 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | icc_items | rmse | 0.042579 | 0.000947994 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | item | bias | -0.0024475 | 0.00781291 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | item | empse | 0.247066 | 0.00552733 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | item | rel_bias | -0.0024475 | 0.00781291 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | item | rmse | 0.246955 | 0.00653193 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | model | bias | -0.0223711 | 0.00254839 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | model | empse | 0.080587 | 0.00180288 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | model | rel_bias | -0.223711 | 0.0254839 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | model | rmse | 0.0835957 | 0.00261557 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | prompt | bias | -0.0213736 | 0.00268401 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | prompt | empse | 0.0848759 | 0.00189883 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.213736 | 0.0268401 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-1 | prompt | rmse | 0.0874845 | 0.00408693 | 1000 | 20261036 | 1000 | 0 |
S-bin-2
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-bin-2 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.122293 | 0.0697509 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 2.20572 | 0.049346 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.00138711 | 0.000791156 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 2.208 | 0.04854 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | icc_items | bias | -0.00264387 | 0.00122904 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | icc_items | empse | 0.0388658 | 0.000869501 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.0118706 | 0.00551825 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0389362 | 0.000849537 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | item | bias | -0.0122441 | 0.00713126 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | item | empse | 0.22551 | 0.00504508 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | item | rel_bias | -0.0122441 | 0.00713126 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | item | rmse | 0.22573 | 0.00512394 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | model | bias | -0.0204216 | 0.00246023 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | model | empse | 0.0777992 | 0.00174051 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | model | rel_bias | -0.204216 | 0.0246023 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | model | rmse | 0.0803972 | 0.0024753 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | prompt | bias | -0.00772928 | 0.00236007 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | prompt | empse | 0.0746321 | 0.00166966 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.0772928 | 0.0236007 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-bin-2 | prompt | rmse | 0.0749942 | 0.00265563 | 1000 | 20261037 | 1000 | 0 |
Reportable findings (values and MCSE on the stated measure’s scale):
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-bin-1 | model | rel_bias | -0.223711 | 0.0254839 | underestimation |
| S-bin-1 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.213736 | 0.0268401 | underestimation |
| S-bin-2 | model | rel_bias | -0.204216 | 0.0246023 | underestimation |
two_level
Read two_level_results.csv (full); n_sim = 1000 per
scenario.
S-two-1
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-two-1 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.0195007 | 0.117693 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 3.72178 | 0.0832632 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.000268719 | 0.00162181 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 3.71997 | 0.0803388 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | icc_items | bias | -0.00166685 | 0.00171623 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | icc_items | empse | 0.0542718 | 0.00121416 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.00352122 | 0.00362553 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0542703 | 0.0012048 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | item | bias | -0.00228672 | 0.0064614 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | item | empse | 0.204327 | 0.00457118 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | item | rel_bias | -0.00228672 | 0.0064614 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | item | rmse | 0.204238 | 0.00455895 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | model | bias | -0.000353299 | 0.002273 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | model | empse | 0.0718787 | 0.00160806 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | model | rel_bias | -0.00706598 | 0.0454601 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | model | rmse | 0.0718436 | 0.0038696 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | prompt | bias | -0.0132124 | 0.00150343 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | prompt | empse | 0.0475425 | 0.00106361 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.211399 | 0.0240548 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-1 | prompt | rmse | 0.0493214 | 0.00169582 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
Derived-component diagnostic:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-two-1 | model | derived_share | 1 | 0 | 1000 | 20261038 | 1000 | 0 |
S-two-2
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-two-2 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | -0.62879 | 0.14806 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 4.68207 | 0.104747 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | -0.00834636 | 0.0019653 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 4.72178 | 0.103211 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | icc_items | bias | 0.00724472 | 0.00223798 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | icc_items | empse | 0.0707713 | 0.00158329 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | icc_items | rel_bias | 0.0167534 | 0.00517534 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0711059 | 0.00162535 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | item | bias | 0.00245465 | 0.00623866 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | item | empse | 0.197284 | 0.00441361 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | item | rel_bias | 0.00245465 | 0.00623866 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | item | rmse | 0.1972 | 0.00516144 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | model | bias | -0.00168061 | 0.0116002 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | model | empse | 0.366831 | 0.00820668 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | model | rel_bias | -0.00672243 | 0.0464008 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | model | rmse | 0.366651 | 0.0235318 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | prompt | bias | -0.0117955 | 0.00133598 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | prompt | empse | 0.0422472 | 0.00094515 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.188728 | 0.0213756 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-two-2 | prompt | rmse | 0.0438427 | 0.00164755 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
Derived-component diagnostic:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-two-2 | model | derived_share | 1 | 0 | 1000 | 20261039 | 1000 | 0 |
Reportable findings (values and MCSE on the stated measure’s scale):
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-two-1 | model | bias | -0.000353299 | 0.002273 | no direction resolved at the report threshold |
| S-two-2 | model | bias | -0.00168061 | 0.0116002 | no direction resolved at the report threshold |
Ordinal convergence sensitivity
The main summaries above retain finite estimates even when a fit did
not converge. The following separate analysis compares all finite
estimates with only those whose recorded converged flag is
true. Singular fits are retained in both eligible groups. Each n comes
from the replicate rows used by that group, independently of the result
table’s n_sim. Non-convergence, singularity and missing flags are
counted separately per actual outer repetition.
Bias MCSE is EmpSE divided by the square root of n; relative bias and its MCSE divide by the truth and its absolute value, respectively. EmpSE MCSE uses the ADEMP approximation in the formula collection, section 9. Selecting on convergence can itself introduce selection bias: this comparison is a descriptive sensitivity analysis, not a replacement estimator or a reason to discard inconvenient estimates from the main study.
| scenario | n | nonconverged | convergence_unknown | nonconverged_share | nonconverged_mcse | singular | singular_unknown | singular_share | singular_mcse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-1 | 1000 | 9 | 0 | 0.009 | 0.00298647 | 812 | 0 | 0.812 | 0.0123554 |
| S-ord-2 | 1000 | 18 | 0 | 0.018 | 0.00420428 | 797 | 0 | 0.797 | 0.0127197 |
| S-ord-3 | 1000 | 20 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00442719 | 812 | 0 | 0.812 | 0.0123554 |
| S-ord-4 | 1000 | 16 | 0 | 0.016 | 0.00396787 | 789 | 0 | 0.789 | 0.0129027 |
S-ord-1
| scenario | estimand | selection | n | bias | bias_mcse | rel_bias | rel_bias_mcse | empse | empse_mcse | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-1 | grr_pct_study_var | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.125273 | 0.110754 | -0.00168297 | 0.00148791 | 3.50234 | 0.0783538 | available |
| S-ord-1 | grr_pct_study_var | converged finite estimates | 991 | -0.117658 | 0.111316 | -0.00158067 | 0.00149546 | 3.50425 | 0.0787521 | available |
| S-ord-1 | icc_items | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.000637983 | 0.00165117 | 0.00143068 | 0.00370276 | 0.0522147 | 0.00116814 | available |
| S-ord-1 | icc_items | converged finite estimates | 991 | 0.000523478 | 0.00165959 | 0.0011739 | 0.00372162 | 0.052244 | 0.0011741 | available |
| S-ord-1 | item | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.00395243 | 0.00635032 | 0.00395243 | 0.00635032 | 0.200815 | 0.0044926 | available |
| S-ord-1 | item | converged finite estimates | 991 | 0.00390423 | 0.00638922 | 0.00390423 | 0.00638922 | 0.201134 | 0.00452014 | available |
| S-ord-1 | item:model | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.00211939 | 0.000972256 | 0.0235487 | 0.0108028 | 0.0307454 | 0.000687833 | available |
| S-ord-1 | item:model | converged finite estimates | 991 | 0.0021756 | 0.0009794 | 0.0241734 | 0.0108822 | 0.0308317 | 0.00069289 | available |
| S-ord-1 | model | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.0181983 | 0.00227219 | -0.202203 | 0.0252466 | 0.0718531 | 0.00160749 | available |
| S-ord-1 | model | converged finite estimates | 991 | -0.0181243 | 0.0022806 | -0.201382 | 0.0253399 | 0.0717935 | 0.00161344 | available |
| S-ord-1 | prompt | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.00952569 | 0.00165618 | -0.152411 | 0.0264989 | 0.052373 | 0.00117168 | available |
| S-ord-1 | prompt | converged finite estimates | 991 | -0.00926904 | 0.00166774 | -0.148305 | 0.0266839 | 0.0525008 | 0.00117987 | available |
S-ord-2
| scenario | estimand | selection | n | bias | bias_mcse | rel_bias | rel_bias_mcse | empse | empse_mcse | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-2 | grr_pct_study_var | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.0347232 | 0.113032 | 0.000466485 | 0.00151851 | 3.57438 | 0.0799656 | available |
| S-ord-2 | grr_pct_study_var | converged finite estimates | 982 | 0.0355778 | 0.114488 | 0.000477966 | 0.00153808 | 3.5877 | 0.0809965 | available |
| S-ord-2 | icc_items | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.00179339 | 0.00168449 | -0.00402168 | 0.00377748 | 0.0532684 | 0.00119171 | available |
| S-ord-2 | icc_items | converged finite estimates | 982 | -0.00181562 | 0.00170576 | -0.00407154 | 0.00382517 | 0.0534532 | 0.00120677 | available |
| S-ord-2 | item | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.0016251 | 0.0064879 | -0.0016251 | 0.0064879 | 0.205165 | 0.00458993 | available |
| S-ord-2 | item | converged finite estimates | 982 | -0.00151254 | 0.00657985 | -0.00151254 | 0.00657985 | 0.206192 | 0.00465503 | available |
| S-ord-2 | item:model | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.00160385 | 0.000717591 | 0.0178205 | 0.00797323 | 0.0226922 | 0.000507667 | available |
| S-ord-2 | item:model | converged finite estimates | 982 | 0.00150289 | 0.000727319 | 0.0166987 | 0.00808132 | 0.0227919 | 0.000514554 | available |
| S-ord-2 | model | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.0168554 | 0.00230711 | -0.187283 | 0.0256346 | 0.0729573 | 0.00163219 | available |
| S-ord-2 | model | converged finite estimates | 982 | -0.0167918 | 0.00233361 | -0.186575 | 0.025929 | 0.0731281 | 0.00165095 | available |
| S-ord-2 | prompt | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.00435936 | 0.0012259 | -0.0697498 | 0.0196144 | 0.0387663 | 0.000867275 | available |
| S-ord-2 | prompt | converged finite estimates | 982 | -0.00439241 | 0.00123293 | -0.0702786 | 0.0197269 | 0.0386362 | 0.000872258 | available |
S-ord-3
| scenario | estimand | selection | n | bias | bias_mcse | rel_bias | rel_bias_mcse | empse | empse_mcse | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-3 | grr_pct_study_var | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.168115 | 0.129819 | 0.00294099 | 0.00227104 | 4.10523 | 0.0918417 | available |
| S-ord-3 | grr_pct_study_var | converged finite estimates | 980 | 0.163064 | 0.130847 | 0.00285263 | 0.00228901 | 4.09614 | 0.0925697 | available |
| S-ord-3 | icc_items | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.00360842 | 0.00150216 | -0.00535977 | 0.00223124 | 0.0475026 | 0.00106272 | available |
| S-ord-3 | icc_items | converged finite estimates | 980 | -0.00354303 | 0.00151343 | -0.00526264 | 0.00224798 | 0.0473779 | 0.0010707 | available |
| S-ord-3 | item | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.000680181 | 0.0161926 | -0.000265696 | 0.00632523 | 0.512054 | 0.0114556 | available |
| S-ord-3 | item | converged finite estimates | 980 | -0.000357753 | 0.016346 | -0.000139747 | 0.00638515 | 0.51171 | 0.0115643 | available |
| S-ord-3 | item:model | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.00179274 | 0.00103592 | 0.0199194 | 0.0115102 | 0.0327587 | 0.000732873 | available |
| S-ord-3 | item:model | converged finite estimates | 980 | 0.0017884 | 0.00105051 | 0.0198711 | 0.0116724 | 0.0328863 | 0.000743205 | available |
| S-ord-3 | model | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.0153654 | 0.00224351 | -0.170727 | 0.0249279 | 0.0709461 | 0.0015872 | available |
| S-ord-3 | model | converged finite estimates | 980 | -0.0156277 | 0.00226048 | -0.173641 | 0.0251165 | 0.0707643 | 0.00159922 | available |
| S-ord-3 | prompt | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.0068387 | 0.00179576 | -0.109419 | 0.0287322 | 0.056787 | 0.00127043 | available |
| S-ord-3 | prompt | converged finite estimates | 980 | -0.00682311 | 0.00181755 | -0.10917 | 0.0290809 | 0.0568984 | 0.00128586 | available |
S-ord-4
| scenario | estimand | selection | n | bias | bias_mcse | rel_bias | rel_bias_mcse | empse | empse_mcse | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-ord-4 | block | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.000995367 | 0.000451907 | 0.0995367 | 0.0451907 | 0.0142906 | 0.000319707 | available |
| S-ord-4 | block | converged finite estimates | 984 | 0.000979918 | 0.000455505 | 0.0979918 | 0.0455505 | 0.0142886 | 0.000322254 | available |
| S-ord-4 | grr_pct_study_var | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.286697 | 0.0879519 | -0.00384474 | 0.00117947 | 2.78128 | 0.0622225 | available |
| S-ord-4 | grr_pct_study_var | converged finite estimates | 984 | -0.298257 | 0.0888445 | -0.00399976 | 0.00119144 | 2.78694 | 0.0628545 | available |
| S-ord-4 | icc_items | all finite estimates | 1000 | 0.00349472 | 0.00130511 | 0.00787186 | 0.00293977 | 0.0412713 | 0.000923317 | available |
| S-ord-4 | icc_items | converged finite estimates | 984 | 0.00366331 | 0.00131824 | 0.00825161 | 0.00296933 | 0.0413515 | 0.000932608 | available |
| S-ord-4 | item | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.00139942 | 0.00487517 | -0.00139942 | 0.00487517 | 0.154166 | 0.00344899 | available |
| S-ord-4 | item | converged finite estimates | 984 | -0.000412487 | 0.00492568 | -0.000412487 | 0.00492568 | 0.154512 | 0.00348475 | available |
| S-ord-4 | item:model | all finite estimates | 1000 | 6.53399e-05 | 0.0005059 | 0.000725999 | 0.00562112 | 0.015998 | 0.000357905 | available |
| S-ord-4 | item:model | converged finite estimates | 984 | 0.000112316 | 0.000512275 | 0.00124796 | 0.00569195 | 0.0160695 | 0.000362418 | available |
| S-ord-4 | model | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.0210329 | 0.00217048 | -0.233699 | 0.0241164 | 0.0686366 | 0.00153553 | available |
| S-ord-4 | model | converged finite estimates | 984 | -0.0208426 | 0.00218585 | -0.231585 | 0.0242872 | 0.0685675 | 0.00154642 | available |
| S-ord-4 | prompt | all finite estimates | 1000 | -0.0124167 | 0.00150468 | -0.198667 | 0.0240749 | 0.0475823 | 0.0010645 | available |
| S-ord-4 | prompt | converged finite estimates | 984 | -0.0123292 | 0.00152227 | -0.197267 | 0.0243563 | 0.0477516 | 0.00107695 | available |
Bootstrap intervals: coverage by scenario
This section reads boot_coverage_results.csv
(full run), with n_sim = 1000
repetitions per scenario. The installed
boot_coverage_results.csv takes precedence over
boot_coverage_check_results.csv. An invalid existing full
result stops the build. This section reads the existing bootstrap
results without rerunning the class B simulations or downloading
inputs.
The study evaluates the existing 95% percentile intervals from
msa_boot() for gauge R&R study variation and
contribution, ndc and item ICC. Every outer repetition generates a new
crossed study and uses the package’s default number of parametric
bootstrap refits. Numeric scenarios include all three pairwise
interactions; the binary logit scenario uses item, prompt and model
effects. The installed validation/sim/README.md specifies
the designs, seeds, Monte Carlo standard errors (MCSE), diagnostics and
reproduction commands.
Coverage is the fraction of finite closed intervals containing the
true value; width is their mean width. Their n_finite and
n_failed count available and unavailable outer repetitions.
For bootstrap diagnostics, the unit of analysis is also the outer
repetition: each contributes its fraction of singular or failed refits,
and MCSE is the standard error of the mean of those fractions. Singular
refits with finite statistics remain in the intervals. Only non-finite
values are omitted, separately for each statistic. The diagnostics count
a replicate with any non-finite statistic as failed and do not also
count it as singular.
Short runs establish reproducibility and file structure. They do not establish nominal coverage. Full runs require at least 1000 repetitions per scenario (ANK-06) and follow code acceptance. Undercoverage or overcoverage in those runs is a finding to report, with MCSE, rather than a reason to alter intervals. The reporting threshold is ANK-TOL.mc_factor.report, or 3 MCSE from the nominal level. A zero MCSE does not hide a deviation from nominal. The continuous GRR and ICC statistics are monotone functions of the same variance ratio; their percentile coverages coincide in these results. The integer-valued ndc has discrete steps, which can produce conservative intervals and overcoverage. The findings below identify every affected scenario and interval estimand individually.
S-boot-1
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-1 | block | bias | -0.000179057 | 0.00044736 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | block | empse | 0.0141468 | 0.000316489 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | block | rel_bias | -0.0179057 | 0.044736 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | block | rmse | 0.0141408 | 0.000754699 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_contribution | bias | 0.915966 | 0.245928 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_contribution | coverage | 0.949 | 0.00695694 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_contribution | empse | 7.77691 | 0.173984 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_contribution | rel_bias | 0.0424675 | 0.0114021 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_contribution | rmse | 7.8268 | 0.235994 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_contribution | width | 29.743 | 0.266317 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.321111 | 0.248453 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_study_var | coverage | 0.949 | 0.00695694 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 7.85679 | 0.175771 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.00691423 | 0.00534975 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 7.85942 | 0.190564 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | grr_pct_study_var | width | 29.9091 | 0.155596 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | icc_items | bias | -0.00915966 | 0.00245928 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | icc_items | coverage | 0.949 | 0.00695694 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | icc_items | empse | 0.0777691 | 0.00173984 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.0116786 | 0.00313558 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | icc_items | rmse | 0.078268 | 0.00235994 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | icc_items | width | 0.29743 | 0.00266317 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item | bias | 0.0101384 | 0.010449 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item | empse | 0.330427 | 0.00739227 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item | rel_bias | 0.0101384 | 0.010449 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item | rmse | 0.330417 | 0.00794962 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:model | bias | -0.000329439 | 0.000391851 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:model | empse | 0.0123914 | 0.000277219 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:model | rel_bias | -0.00658877 | 0.00783703 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:model | rmse | 0.0123896 | 0.00027226 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:prompt | bias | 0.000269881 | 0.000112845 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:prompt | empse | 0.00356847 | 7.98333e-05 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:prompt | rel_bias | 0.0269881 | 0.0112845 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | item:prompt | rmse | 0.00357688 | 8.80177e-05 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | model | bias | 0.00170806 | 0.00173827 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | model | empse | 0.0549688 | 0.00122975 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | model | rel_bias | 0.0341611 | 0.0347653 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | model | rmse | 0.0549678 | 0.00229036 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | ndc | bias | 0.239 | 0.0206956 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | ndc | coverage | 0.998 | 0.0014128 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | ndc | empse | 0.654452 | 0.0146413 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | ndc | rel_bias | 0.1195 | 0.0103478 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | ndc | rmse | 0.696419 | 0.0162818 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | ndc | width | 2.23835 | 0.0195815 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt | bias | -0.00287615 | 0.00158321 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt | empse | 0.0500654 | 0.00112006 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.0575229 | 0.0316641 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt | rmse | 0.0501229 | 0.00200897 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt:model | bias | -4.03718e-05 | 0.00013373 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt:model | empse | 0.0042289 | 9.46085e-05 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt:model | rel_bias | -0.00807437 | 0.0267459 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | prompt:model | rmse | 0.00422698 | 0.00015905 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | Residual | bias | -0.000159097 | 0.000141341 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | Residual | empse | 0.0044696 | 9.99933e-05 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | Residual | rel_bias | -0.00159097 | 0.00141341 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | Residual | rmse | 0.0044702 | 9.9621e-05 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
Bootstrap diagnostics:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-1 | bootstrap | failed_share | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-1 | bootstrap | singular_share | 0.494705 | 0.00627041 | 1000 | 20261102 | 1000 | 0 |
S-boot-2
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-2 | block | bias | 0.000220631 | 0.000451261 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | block | empse | 0.0142701 | 0.00031925 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | block | rel_bias | 0.0220631 | 0.0451261 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | block | rmse | 0.0142647 | 0.000812554 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_contribution | bias | 1.24046 | 0.221046 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_contribution | coverage | 0.951 | 0.00682635 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_contribution | empse | 6.9901 | 0.156382 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_contribution | rel_bias | 0.0575121 | 0.0102485 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_contribution | rmse | 7.09587 | 0.198168 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_contribution | width | 28.8245 | 0.228313 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.779473 | 0.226028 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_study_var | coverage | 0.951 | 0.00682635 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 7.14763 | 0.159906 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.0167838 | 0.00486688 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 7.18646 | 0.1658 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | grr_pct_study_var | width | 28.8115 | 0.1319 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | icc_items | bias | -0.0124046 | 0.00221046 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | icc_items | coverage | 0.951 | 0.00682635 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | icc_items | empse | 0.069901 | 0.00156382 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.0158158 | 0.00281834 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0709587 | 0.00198168 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | icc_items | width | 0.288245 | 0.00228313 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item | bias | -0.00138368 | 0.0100515 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item | empse | 0.317856 | 0.00711103 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item | rel_bias | -0.00138368 | 0.0100515 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item | rmse | 0.3177 | 0.00851007 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:model | bias | -7.47711e-05 | 0.0003891 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:model | empse | 0.0123044 | 0.000275273 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:model | rel_bias | -0.00149542 | 0.007782 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:model | rmse | 0.0122985 | 0.000323379 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:prompt | bias | 6.57683e-07 | 7.93903e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:prompt | empse | 0.00251054 | 5.61655e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:prompt | rel_bias | 6.57683e-05 | 0.00793903 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | item:prompt | rmse | 0.00250929 | 5.95317e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | model | bias | 0.000476092 | 0.00178082 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | model | empse | 0.0563144 | 0.00125986 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | model | rel_bias | 0.00952183 | 0.0356164 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | model | rmse | 0.0562883 | 0.00272253 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | ndc | bias | 0.2 | 0.0186104 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | ndc | empse | 0.588512 | 0.0131661 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | ndc | rel_bias | 0.1 | 0.00930519 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | ndc | rmse | 0.621289 | 0.016204 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | ndc | width | 2.12513 | 0.0185214 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt | bias | 0.00142641 | 0.00116433 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt | empse | 0.0368194 | 0.00082372 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt | rel_bias | 0.0285282 | 0.0232867 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt | rmse | 0.0368287 | 0.00106195 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt:model | bias | -2.77905e-05 | 9.29801e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt:model | empse | 0.00294029 | 6.57797e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt:model | rel_bias | -0.00555811 | 0.018596 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | prompt:model | rmse | 0.00293895 | 8.73629e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | Residual | bias | 4.87301e-05 | 0.000109439 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | Residual | empse | 0.00346076 | 7.74237e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | Residual | rel_bias | 0.000487301 | 0.00109439 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | Residual | rmse | 0.00345937 | 7.35628e-05 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
Bootstrap diagnostics:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-2 | bootstrap | failed_share | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-2 | bootstrap | singular_share | 0.349435 | 0.00656497 | 1000 | 20261104 | 1000 | 0 |
S-boot-3
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-3 | block | bias | -0.000172993 | 0.000435335 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | block | empse | 0.0137665 | 0.000307982 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | block | rel_bias | -0.0172993 | 0.0435335 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | block | rmse | 0.0137607 | 0.000634914 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_contribution | bias | 0.387751 | 0.18443 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_contribution | coverage | 0.946 | 0.00714731 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_contribution | empse | 5.83219 | 0.130477 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_contribution | rel_bias | 0.0179776 | 0.00855084 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_contribution | rmse | 5.84215 | 0.154136 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_contribution | width | 22.9189 | 0.261929 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.0196257 | 0.192325 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_study_var | coverage | 0.946 | 0.00714731 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 6.08184 | 0.136062 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.000422585 | 0.00414118 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 6.07883 | 0.13497 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | grr_pct_study_var | width | 23.4262 | 0.18891 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | icc_items | bias | -0.00387751 | 0.0018443 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | icc_items | coverage | 0.946 | 0.00714731 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | icc_items | empse | 0.0583219 | 0.00130477 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.00494383 | 0.00235148 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0584215 | 0.00154136 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | icc_items | width | 0.229189 | 0.00261929 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item | bias | 0.00531278 | 0.00634644 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item | empse | 0.200692 | 0.00448986 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item | rel_bias | 0.00531278 | 0.00634644 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item | rmse | 0.200662 | 0.00484784 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:model | bias | 0.000224093 | 0.000258125 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:model | empse | 0.00816264 | 0.000182613 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:model | rel_bias | 0.00448185 | 0.00516251 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:model | rmse | 0.00816163 | 0.000206612 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:prompt | bias | -1.35528e-05 | 6.70549e-05 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:prompt | empse | 0.00212046 | 4.74387e-05 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:prompt | rel_bias | -0.00135528 | 0.00670549 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | item:prompt | rmse | 0.00211944 | 4.77642e-05 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | model | bias | 0.00169466 | 0.00172843 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | model | empse | 0.0546576 | 0.00122279 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | model | rel_bias | 0.0338933 | 0.0345685 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | model | rmse | 0.0546566 | 0.00247138 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | ndc | bias | 0.231 | 0.0166107 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | ndc | coverage | 0.991 | 0.00298647 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | ndc | empse | 0.525276 | 0.0117514 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | ndc | rel_bias | 0.1155 | 0.00830534 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | ndc | rmse | 0.573585 | 0.0133058 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | ndc | width | 1.7328 | 0.0159767 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt | bias | 0.00177739 | 0.00171982 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt | empse | 0.0543853 | 0.0012167 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt | rel_bias | 0.0355477 | 0.0343963 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt | rmse | 0.0543872 | 0.00256672 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt:model | bias | -0.000168708 | 0.000112811 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt:model | empse | 0.0035674 | 7.98094e-05 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt:model | rel_bias | -0.0337416 | 0.0225622 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | prompt:model | rmse | 0.0035696 | 0.000112136 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | Residual | bias | 0.000222021 | 9.12617e-05 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | Residual | empse | 0.00288595 | 6.4564e-05 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | Residual | rel_bias | 0.00222021 | 0.000912617 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | Residual | rmse | 0.00289304 | 6.69745e-05 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
Bootstrap diagnostics:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-3 | bootstrap | failed_share | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-3 | bootstrap | singular_share | 0.356445 | 0.00633671 | 1000 | 20261106 | 1000 | 0 |
S-boot-4
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-4 | block | bias | 0.00010448 | 0.000431586 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | block | empse | 0.0136479 | 0.00030533 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | block | rel_bias | 0.010448 | 0.0431586 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | block | rmse | 0.0136415 | 0.000735005 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_contribution | bias | 0.122506 | 0.162809 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_contribution | coverage | 0.953 | 0.00669261 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_contribution | empse | 5.14848 | 0.115181 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_contribution | rel_bias | 0.00567982 | 0.00754843 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_contribution | rmse | 5.14737 | 0.122037 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_contribution | width | 20.6844 | 0.207511 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | -0.188594 | 0.172517 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_study_var | coverage | 0.953 | 0.00669261 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 5.45547 | 0.122049 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | -0.00406085 | 0.00371468 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 5.456 | 0.113409 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | grr_pct_study_var | width | 21.4077 | 0.151213 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | icc_items | bias | -0.00122506 | 0.00162809 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | icc_items | coverage | 0.953 | 0.00669261 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | icc_items | empse | 0.0514848 | 0.00115181 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.00156195 | 0.00207582 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0514737 | 0.00122037 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | icc_items | width | 0.206844 | 0.00207511 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item | bias | 0.00316322 | 0.00681111 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item | empse | 0.215386 | 0.00481859 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item | rel_bias | 0.00316322 | 0.00681111 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item | rmse | 0.215302 | 0.00517149 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:model | bias | -5.93925e-05 | 0.000256426 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:model | empse | 0.00810892 | 0.000181412 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:model | rel_bias | -0.00118785 | 0.00512853 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:model | rmse | 0.00810508 | 0.000184828 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:prompt | bias | 4.43358e-05 | 5.09981e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:prompt | empse | 0.0016127 | 3.60791e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:prompt | rel_bias | 0.00443358 | 0.00509981 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | item:prompt | rmse | 0.0016125 | 3.74237e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | model | bias | -0.00210709 | 0.00154269 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | model | empse | 0.0487842 | 0.00109139 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | model | rel_bias | -0.0421417 | 0.0308538 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | model | rmse | 0.0488053 | 0.00188038 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | ndc | bias | 0.252 | 0.0156442 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | ndc | coverage | 0.996 | 0.001996 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | ndc | empse | 0.494713 | 0.0110676 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | ndc | rel_bias | 0.126 | 0.0078221 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | ndc | rmse | 0.554977 | 0.0138807 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | ndc | width | 1.61745 | 0.0160421 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt | bias | -0.00112919 | 0.00116458 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt | empse | 0.0368272 | 0.000823894 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.0225837 | 0.0232916 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt | rmse | 0.0368261 | 0.00132992 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt:model | bias | -0.000148256 | 8.25028e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt:model | empse | 0.00260897 | 5.83675e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt:model | rel_bias | -0.0296512 | 0.0165006 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | prompt:model | rmse | 0.00261187 | 7.2973e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | Residual | bias | 5.93742e-05 | 7.10002e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | Residual | empse | 0.00224522 | 5.02299e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | Residual | rel_bias | 0.000593742 | 0.000710002 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | Residual | rmse | 0.00224489 | 5.07284e-05 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
Bootstrap diagnostics:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-4 | bootstrap | failed_share | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-4 | bootstrap | singular_share | 0.23507 | 0.0057105 | 1000 | 20261108 | 1000 | 0 |
S-boot-5
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-5 | block | bias | -0.000256022 | 0.000459752 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | block | empse | 0.0145386 | 0.000325256 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | block | rel_bias | -0.0256022 | 0.0459752 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | block | rmse | 0.0145336 | 0.000856827 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_contribution | bias | 0.382877 | 0.333661 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_contribution | coverage | 0.953 | 0.00669261 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_contribution | empse | 10.5513 | 0.236052 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_contribution | rel_bias | 0.00796797 | 0.00694375 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_contribution | rmse | 10.553 | 0.231152 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_contribution | width | 38.6024 | 0.194795 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | -0.140745 | 0.240496 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_study_var | coverage | 0.953 | 0.00669261 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 7.60516 | 0.170142 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | -0.00203038 | 0.00346939 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 7.60266 | 0.16267 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | grr_pct_study_var | width | 27.9416 | 0.122013 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | icc_items | bias | -0.00382877 | 0.00333661 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | icc_items | coverage | 0.953 | 0.00669261 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | icc_items | empse | 0.105513 | 0.00236052 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.00737038 | 0.00642297 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | icc_items | rmse | 0.10553 | 0.00231152 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | icc_items | width | 0.386024 | 0.00194795 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item | bias | -0.00359063 | 0.0104924 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item | empse | 0.331797 | 0.00742293 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item | rel_bias | -0.00359063 | 0.0104924 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item | rmse | 0.331651 | 0.00893643 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:model | bias | 0.00132569 | 0.000577165 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:model | empse | 0.0182516 | 0.000408322 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:model | rel_bias | 0.0265139 | 0.0115433 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:model | rmse | 0.0182906 | 0.000440177 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:prompt | bias | 0.000148159 | 0.000255979 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:prompt | empse | 0.00809475 | 0.000181095 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:prompt | rel_bias | 0.0148159 | 0.0255979 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | item:prompt | rmse | 0.00809206 | 0.000211122 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | model | bias | 0.000700834 | 0.00180431 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | model | empse | 0.0570572 | 0.00127648 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | model | rel_bias | 0.0140167 | 0.0360861 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | model | rmse | 0.0570329 | 0.00281029 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | ndc | bias | 0.068 | 0.00796489 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | ndc | empse | 0.251872 | 0.00563484 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | ndc | rel_bias | 0.068 | 0.00796489 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | ndc | rmse | 0.260768 | 0.015272 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | ndc | width | 0.6629 | 0.0163448 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt | bias | -0.00421825 | 0.00894692 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt | empse | 0.282926 | 0.00632959 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.0140608 | 0.0298231 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt | rmse | 0.282816 | 0.00980394 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt:model | bias | 0.000319217 | 0.000185588 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt:model | empse | 0.00586881 | 0.000131296 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt:model | rel_bias | 0.0638433 | 0.0371176 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | prompt:model | rmse | 0.00587456 | 0.000203789 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | Residual | bias | -0.000762179 | 0.000688856 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | Residual | empse | 0.0217835 | 0.000487338 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | Residual | rel_bias | -0.00152436 | 0.00137771 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | Residual | rmse | 0.021786 | 0.000454697 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
Bootstrap diagnostics:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-5 | bootstrap | failed_share | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-5 | bootstrap | singular_share | 0.73465 | 0.00448964 | 1000 | 20261110 | 1000 | 0 |
S-boot-6
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-6 | block | bias | -0.00035723 | 0.000488198 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | block | empse | 0.0154382 | 0.000345381 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | block | rel_bias | -0.035723 | 0.0488198 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | block | rmse | 0.0154346 | 0.000928394 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_contribution | bias | 0.835364 | 0.307717 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_contribution | coverage | 0.933 | 0.00790639 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_contribution | empse | 9.73086 | 0.217698 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_contribution | rel_bias | 0.0173846 | 0.00640384 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_contribution | rmse | 9.7618 | 0.20911 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_contribution | width | 36.1101 | 0.129018 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.248904 | 0.221395 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_study_var | coverage | 0.933 | 0.00790639 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 7.00112 | 0.156628 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.00359068 | 0.00319383 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 7.00204 | 0.14516 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | grr_pct_study_var | width | 26.0067 | 0.0949652 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | icc_items | bias | -0.00835364 | 0.00307717 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | icc_items | coverage | 0.933 | 0.00790639 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | icc_items | empse | 0.0973086 | 0.00217698 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.0160808 | 0.00592355 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | icc_items | rmse | 0.097618 | 0.0020911 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | icc_items | width | 0.361101 | 0.00129018 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item | bias | 0.00537149 | 0.0107247 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item | empse | 0.339144 | 0.00758728 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item | rel_bias | 0.00537149 | 0.0107247 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item | rmse | 0.339017 | 0.0092193 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:model | bias | -0.000414347 | 0.000480579 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:model | empse | 0.0151972 | 0.000339991 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:model | rel_bias | -0.00828694 | 0.00961158 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:model | rmse | 0.0151953 | 0.000375231 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:prompt | bias | 0.000386655 | 0.000197721 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:prompt | empse | 0.00625249 | 0.00013988 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:prompt | rel_bias | 0.0386655 | 0.0197721 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | item:prompt | rmse | 0.00626131 | 0.000157147 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | model | bias | 0.000716321 | 0.00161988 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | model | empse | 0.0512251 | 0.001146 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | model | rel_bias | 0.0143264 | 0.0323976 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | model | rmse | 0.0512045 | 0.00180904 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | ndc | bias | 0.051 | 0.00696042 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | ndc | empse | 0.220108 | 0.00492422 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | ndc | rel_bias | 0.051 | 0.00696042 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | ndc | rmse | 0.225832 | 0.0154106 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | ndc | width | 0.581825 | 0.0165824 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt | bias | 0.00541509 | 0.00682438 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt | empse | 0.215806 | 0.00482798 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt | rel_bias | 0.0180503 | 0.0227479 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt | rmse | 0.215766 | 0.00762393 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt:model | bias | -0.000217224 | 0.000138215 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt:model | empse | 0.00437073 | 9.77814e-05 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt:model | rel_bias | -0.0434447 | 0.0276429 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | prompt:model | rmse | 0.00437394 | 0.000140261 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | Residual | bias | 0.00047745 | 0.000560556 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | Residual | empse | 0.0177263 | 0.000396571 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | Residual | rel_bias | 0.0009549 | 0.00112111 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | Residual | rmse | 0.0177239 | 0.000407437 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
Bootstrap diagnostics:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-6 | bootstrap | failed_share | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-6 | bootstrap | singular_share | 0.607905 | 0.00580555 | 1000 | 20261112 | 1000 | 0 |
S-boot-7
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_contribution | bias | 0.382422 | 0.126935 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_contribution | coverage | 0.928 | 0.00817411 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_contribution | empse | 4.01403 | 0.0898014 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_contribution | rel_bias | 0.00492003 | 0.00163307 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_contribution | rmse | 4.03021 | 0.0823988 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_contribution | width | 15.3459 | 0.0603585 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_study_var | bias | 0.187419 | 0.0718707 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_study_var | coverage | 0.928 | 0.00817411 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_study_var | empse | 2.27275 | 0.0508457 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_study_var | rel_bias | 0.00212581 | 0.0008152 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_study_var | rmse | 2.27933 | 0.0463656 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | grr_pct_study_var | width | 8.7328 | 0.0404198 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | icc_items | bias | -0.00382422 | 0.00126935 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | icc_items | coverage | 0.928 | 0.00817411 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | icc_items | empse | 0.0401403 | 0.000898014 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | icc_items | rel_bias | -0.0171703 | 0.00569921 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | icc_items | rmse | 0.0403021 | 0.000823988 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | icc_items | width | 0.153459 | 0.000603585 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | item | bias | -0.0228867 | 0.00715257 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | item | empse | 0.226184 | 0.00506016 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | item | rel_bias | -0.0228867 | 0.00715257 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | item | rmse | 0.227227 | 0.00474553 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | model | bias | -0.0202493 | 0.00264045 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | model | empse | 0.0834983 | 0.00186801 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | model | rel_bias | -0.202493 | 0.0264045 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | model | rmse | 0.085878 | 0.00281279 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | ndc | bias | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | ndc | empse | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | ndc | rel_bias | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | ndc | rmse | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | ndc | width | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | prompt | bias | -0.0204982 | 0.00260761 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | prompt | empse | 0.0824599 | 0.00184478 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | prompt | rel_bias | -0.204982 | 0.0260761 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | prompt | rmse | 0.0849294 | 0.00322761 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
Bootstrap diagnostics:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | MCSE | n_sim | seed | n_finite | n_failed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-7 | bootstrap | failed_share | 0 | 0 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
| S-boot-7 | bootstrap | singular_share | 0.37961 | 0.00665147 | 1000 | 20261114 | 1000 | 0 |
Reportable interval findings:
| scenario | estimand | measure | value | mcse | direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-boot-1 | ndc | coverage | 0.998 | 0.0014128 | overcoverage |
| S-boot-2 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | overcoverage |
| S-boot-3 | ndc | coverage | 0.991 | 0.00298647 | overcoverage |
| S-boot-4 | ndc | coverage | 0.996 | 0.001996 | overcoverage |
| S-boot-5 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | overcoverage |
| S-boot-6 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | overcoverage |
| S-boot-7 | ndc | coverage | 1 | 0 | overcoverage |
Bias interval: coverage by scenario
This section recomputes the bias interval study using the currently
loaded msa_bias() at confidence level 0.95. Item truths are
the supplied references, with independent residuals for every response.
The specification settings and seeds are shown below. Both scenarios use
1000 repetitions, from the minimum in ANK-06. The RNG is
Mersenne-Twister/Inversion/Rejection; the caller’s random state is
restored after the calculation.
| scenario | items | prompts | models | reps | residual | item | bias | seed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-bias-1 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 20261106 |
| S-bias-2 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.0 | 20261107 |
Coverage counts every closed interval containing the true bias. Its MCSE is the square root of coverage times its complement divided by n_sim. Failed calculations abort with the scenario and repetition instead of dropping observations. The signed distance from the nominal level is reported in MCSE; undercoverage or overcoverage beyond the anchored reporting threshold is named in the table. The reporting threshold is 3 MCSE and the acceptance threshold is 4 MCSE (ANK-TOL.mc_factor). Reporting a finding does not change the interval or stop the table from rendering.
| scenario | coverage | MCSE | n_sim | distance to level (MCSE) | finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-bias-1 | 0.959000 | 0.006270 | 1000 | 1.435295 | within report threshold |
| S-bias-2 | 0.952000 | 0.006760 | 1000 | 0.295863 | within report threshold |
Elapsed time: 11.606 seconds, with R 4.6.2 and llmsa 0.1.0. The
independent class A acceptance study checks the same scenarios and each
interval against the t formula. These results assess the bias interval
with independent residuals; they do not establish linearity-band
coverage for correlated item replicates. The installed
validation/agreement/README.md records ADEMP and commands
for public and repository contexts.
Robustness screening: Plackett-Burman and Lenth
The harness validates pb_design() against the published
generator rows in ANK-80 and FrF2::pb(boxtyssedal = FALSE),
allowing row and column permutations and column sign changes. ANK-81
supplies Lenth’s published examples and method constants. The protected
example tables are checked locally against their anchored hashes. Main
effects are compared with differences of level means and regression
coefficients; PSE is checked against
unrepx::PSE(method = "Lenth"), and PSE, ME and SME against
DoE.base::ME.Lenth(simulated = FALSE). These are live
oracle calculations in the acceptance suite under
tests/acceptance/, with tolerances from ANK-TOL.arithmetic
and ANK-TOL.frf2_unrepx. ANK-82 specifies Daniel’s half-normal plotting
positions, which are checked in the recorded plot.
The class A study tests/simulation/test-lenth-h0.R uses
seeded normal noise under the null hypothesis of zero effects. It checks
every ME and SME decision against an independent Lenth calculation and
reports the per-effect and per-experiment false alarm rates, their Monte
Carlo standard errors and their distance from the nominal
alpha. The sample size comes from ANK-06 and the allowance
from ANK-TOL.mc_factor. The method is conservative: rates below nominal
do not justify recalibrating the margins, and no factor exceeding ME
does not establish pipeline robustness. This study runs in the harness;
building this vignette does not rerun it.
With transform = "logit", msa_robustness()
analyses finite proportions strictly between zero and one on the logit
scale, including the response mean and standard deviation. Boundary
proportions require a prior correction; finite empirical logits can be
supplied with transform = "none". The default analyses the
supplied response without transformation. Unit tests check the
transformation against regression, input errors, invariance to
relabelling and row order, and reproducibility of the randomised
design.